Economist Presidential Forecast 2024 Election. Does the outcome of the 2024 election suggest a realignment of traditional voting patterns? To be sure, the election hinges on our forecast for the strength of the economy between now and election day, and various political assumptions regarding voter turnout and the prevalence of.
Our model works by simulating 20,000 paths for the election, each time varying candidates’ vote shares to account for polling error, changes in turnout or the political environment and the. Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day.